The global financial crisis has created a total mayhem worldwide in the past few months. There is a good amount of material
    available that explains the current situation very lucidly. Also, there are expert commentaries analyzing the problems with typical
    jargons and convincing arithmetic representations.

    We are pretty sure that this problem would get resolved in the short term with the commendable response from the international
    community. What is being done right now will give symptomatic relief to the problems. We believe that this is the best that can be
    done at this stage. Because, before treating any disease, it is important to bring symptomatic relief first, so that the symptoms do
    not become a problem in themselves!
    We hear so much being talked about “fundamentals” in the news channels around the world. But somehow, We are unable to
    come to terms with their understanding of the term “fundamentals”.

    However, we fully agree that the root cause to all these problems arise due to faulty fundamentals.

    Confusing?

    Let us clarify.

    The term “fundamentals” as commonly used in the business community and the media means, the potential of an organization to
    meet expected turnover, profits, return on investments and growth. Now, let us highlight our perspective of the term and how it
    might have a bearing on this hot topic.

    A crisis arises when one or more of the following occurs:
    •        desire becomes greed,
    •        confidence becomes arrogance,
    •        knowledge stagnates,
    •        paradigms become stubborn and inflexible,
    •        passion gives way for obsession,
    •        selfishness leads to micro management,
    •        Competitiveness becomes aggression.

    These according to us are the fundamentals that are causative in bringing the global economy to this current situation.
    Now let us elaborate our view point,
    1.        Desire becomes greed (Growth, Growth, Growth…..)
    It is alright to desire to be strong, healthy and prosperous. Problem starts when this desire
    becomes insatiable. Everything in this planet keeps growing till it reaches its optimal level. If growth
    doesn’t halt at its optimal level, then it becomes an aberration and starts having destructive effects.

    Why would it be different in the case of business houses?  The present problems have been
    created by organizations that have grown beyond their optimal levels and have become toxic. The
    primary cause is not the organization or their executives alone. It is the public at large that has
    given excessive weight-age to growth thereby making it wanton and indiscriminate.
    2.        Confidence becomes arrogance ( I can do it - I do it)
     
    It is not the brand, processes and goodwill alone that make up an organization. People are the
    most important resources. Don’t we tend to judge a bank based on our first interaction with a
    branch manager?

    Why do more than 100 year old organizations collapse? Along the path of growth it is impossible to
    realize when confidence gives way to arrogance. Having existed for a long time or being big in size
    alone is not guarantee that the company is good or progressing or will be able to sustain itself for
    long. A single incapable person can damage its brand, processes and goodwill in a jiffy. An
    organization withstanding the test of time must definitely have had good values, but this confidence
    turning into arrogance can create problems for it in the future.

    When an organization is formed, it normally comprises of extremely talented individuals with strong
    value systems. With growth, orientation of new joiners to align with the organizational culture and
    values becomes a challenge. It is achievable mainly due to the quality of recruits and their
    adaptability. The successful orientation gives an impression that anybody can be molded with the
    help of effective orientation programs. This in turn results in sidelining the quality and qualification
    of the recruits. With indiscriminate growth, the orientation itself takes a back seat as it is assumed
    that the strong value system on its own will have the desired effects. This is the point at which
    unknowingly things start falling apart.
    3.        Knowledge Stagnates (I can show you the rule book)

    Well, then comes a stage of stagnation in knowledge assimilation. It is deemed that everything that
    ought to be known is known. All of knowledge is documented in the form of rules, regulations,
    policies and procedures.

    Experiences are unique and can be hardly captured in documents. There is a lot of difference
    between understanding and realizing.  Let us say, I document a statement “Candy is sweet”. It can
    be read and understood by people based on their own experiences. Unless the specific candy is
    tasted, the real experience is not fully realized.

    Any innovation or change could render an earlier understanding redundant.

    Now let’s take an example of a business norm that debt equity ratio should be 2:1.  How many
    finance experts can answer why?  The most likely reason for adherence as I make out is
    •        Because, that’s what we have been taught.
    •        I can prove it by referencing books.
    •        I can avoid answering questions.

    Well, there are so many creative professionals who can show you what you want to see. Can we
    go beyond the rule books and assess other aspects like quality of debts, the qualifications of
    people, the idea behind the enterprise etc.?

    A gentleman who was willing to give collateral of Rs.3.5 million was refused an overdraft of Rs.200
    thousand based on his financial statements. At the same time one of his under performing
    employees getting an annual salary of Rs.60 thousand gets a personal loan of Rs.100 thousand
    without collateral or personal guarantees.

    This is a typical case of “form” taking over “matter”. The more formats we create, the more we
    emphasize on adherence, the lesser is the chance for objectivity, creativity and enhancement of
    assessing capabilities. It is just not enough to tick the questionnaire. One has to go beyond
    questionnaires, formats and manuals to assess the situation objectively and take an informed
    decision. Every situation, organization and every individual is different. A rule applicable in one
    situation may be inappropriate to another.

    You may ask at this juncture, that if there is no standardization, how are we to run businesses and
    conduct audits? Yes, standardization is required, but, flexibility should be allowed. Encouragement
    should be given to individuals in decision making capacities to use some amount of judgment
    before striking the hammer as per the rule books.
    Perhaps there is something wrong with the rule books. Not to mention there are some regressive,
    ineffective, inappropriate and meaningless statutes and regulations that we keep debating and
    analyzing. Their contribution weighs heavily on productivity.
    4.        Paradigms become stubborn (Land prices will go up)

    A closed mind is a high security prison which is impregnable. It holds in shackles virtues like
    creativity, objectiveness and learning.

    Paradigms become robotic commands under which mind functions and rigidity of paradigms blur
    clarity of mind, thereby rendering it nothing but a prison.

    One of the paradigms is to typecast capability of a person with their basic academic qualifications.
    It is generally expected and accepted that a technical expert cannot understand business
    nuances, a finance professional would not understand human resource aspects, a doctor cannot
    be a singer and vice versa.

    Similarly, the sub-prime crisis has been a side effect of one such paradigm. Housing loans had
    been given assuming that the value of assets would go up endlessly. This assumption has been
    driven by past statistics and accepted beliefs. The real worth of the properties, the potential for
    appreciation and ability of people to pay the asking prices have not been given due consideration.
    Not that some people would not have thought about them, but their views did not merit
    consideration due to rigid and well set paradigms.
    5.        Passion becomes Obsession (I love this - I can think of nothing else!)

    Passion is essential for achieving anything but obsession is dangerous. Professionals in the
    financial sectors have a passion for numbers as it makes meaningful analysis possible. However,
    the moment every aspect of business is attempted to be quantified through numeric representation
    it starts bordering on obsession. Facts are then attempted to be converted through arithmetic and
    complicated algorithms to create awesome metrics. Interpretations based on these complexities
    are bound to give confusing and inconclusive results. Sometimes, the numbers are meaningless or
    are just not required. Suppose, somebody makes a complicated calculation using algorithms and
    arithmetic formulae and statistics and comes up with a figure for risk quotient, say 49.8% risk of
    getting hurt by going and eating at a restaurant in Mumbai. How does this figure help me in making
    my decision of going out for lunch? Do I go out or do I not go out today? I could be lucky and be in
    the 50.2% margin or I could get unlucky today. This figure is meaningless to me. In fact, after the
    recent terrorist attack, Mumbai may be the most secure place to travel!

    Similarly, one could be passionate about using technology, but the moment it becomes an
    obsession, you start making your life complicated. You start using technology for even the simplest
    things which could be done by using common sense. And, you stop noticing any flaws that may be
    associated with it.

    In fact, truths are simple and common for all to see and not really as complicated as it is made out
    to be. A simple thing that a child can understand is not acceptable to us because grown-ups are
    supposed to know more!
    6.        Selfishness turning to self-centeredness and leading to micro management (I, me
    and myself)

    Some amount of selfishness is required for any individual or organization. As Ayn Rand puts it “the
    virtue of selfishness - Objectivist ethics proudly advocates and upholds rational selfishness.". The
    Objectivist holds that man must act for his own rational self-interest. But, when it turns to self-
    centeredness and leads to micro-management, it proves disastrous. A micro-manager always fails
    to see the bigger picture. The concept of “macroeconomics” or the Keynesian theory came into
    picture only after the great depression of 1930s. Till then microeconomics was ruling the roost.
    Compartmentalized thinking and concentrating on a single area or limitation may not be enough for
    survival in the long run. It is important to see the impact of any action on the overall business and
    global environment. There is a famous saying in English which says “penny-wise; pound-foolish”!

    Let us put forth some cases of micro-management which are relevant to our discussion.

    Scenario 1
    The credit manager is given bonus based on the amount of loans disbursed. Well it is difficult to
    resist the temptation to reach the target and in fact try a stretch target if possible. Care to evaluate
    at the quality of assets, ability to repay and market value of the mortgaged assets are not a
    problem in the current year. We will cross the bridge when it comes! It can be explained.

    Scenario 2
    The Finance manager will earnestly accrue interest income and informing of bad debts to the debt
    collection team in time doesn’t come at the top of his priority list because he is focusing on his key
    result areas for bonus which are regulatory compliance and cost reduction.

    Scenario 3
    The manager at the deposits section would receive deposits indiscriminately flouting regulatory
    issues as his bonus depends on amount mobilized and wouldn’t worry too much about the
    penalties that might be shelled out by his organization.

    Scenario 4
    The credit card manager gets his incentives based on the number of cards in force and the
    interest income. Therefore, his team would aggressively send out cards without sufficient
    verifications and issue credit limits. The moment a card is issued, customers are charged interest
    and other charges through the most creative calculations possible. The bad ones are not his
    problem as it is the debt collection department’s responsibility.

    These are some of the classic examples of segmental and departmentalized thinking and
    functioning one can see in big organizations. Though, a few would agree with the above, the fact
    remains that the real culprit in these instances is the faulty performance evaluation and incentive
    schemes.

    Corporate citizenship can only be found in policy books and procedure manuals. We do not
    suggest that selfishness should be totally eliminated. But we believe that incentive plans should
    not trigger the self-centeredness.
    7.        Competitiveness becomes aggression (I want it - I want it at any cost)

    Competition is healthy. It is a great leveler. It eliminates monopolistic tendencies, brings out
    options, offers choices to consumers, enhances quality of goods and services offered and
    instigates innovation and creativity. But, when competitiveness turns to aggression, it fails to
    achieve its true purpose. In our opinion true competitiveness should be in the quality of goods and
    services. Unfortunately, competitiveness is being understood to mean only cost advantage. As a
    result price war and under-cutting begins.

    New entrants or the growth seekers in an industry undercut the existing players to get market
    share. The strategy is that once the market share is captured the initial subsidy can be made good
    through price corrections two years down the line. The projected NPV calculation and break even
    analysis look fantastic on the white board.

    In reality, it becomes impossible to achieve. The penetrating price becomes the standard and
    customers refuse to pay more. To compound the problem existing players also reduce prices to
    keep up with the market. Eventually, survival becomes difficult for everyone, as organizations start
    surviving on highly leveraged positions rather than cash profits.
    Summary:

    Now, as soon as the symptomatic correction is brought about to stabilize the global economic crisis, i.e., as soon as the fever
    vanishes, let us get onto “fundamentals” and try and work on the root causes of the problems. We suggest the following
    remedies for eradicating the disease:
      
  1. Growth is vital but monstrosity may be disastrous. Steady and healthy growth with appropriate limits in mind will bring
    prosperity.
  2. Self-confidence is important. Do not neglect values and quality.
  3. Open your mind to newer possibilities. Innovation and creativity are the keys to success.
  4. Be passionate about success, it is essential; but success at any cost may not be so sweet.
  5. Do not fail to look at the bigger picture. Using the magnifying glass is good at times but cleaning a huge hall with a small
    paint brush is not wise.
  6. Over aggressiveness not only hurts others but would hurt you too in the long run. So, pay attention to quality of goods
    and service to compete and win.

    Conclusion:

    In conclusion, the present crisis is a collective failure on the part of all stakeholders which includes senior management,
    regulators, governments and general public worldwide.

    However bitter, unless, these fundamental truths are discussed, understood, and corrected we are bound to have more of such
    crisis in different spheres of our advancing world.
Global Financial Crisis
- An analysis of the “fundamentals”